Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 10.266205 11.417093 12.655914 14.090490 15.708459 17.479555 19.568862
2025-07-20 8.802353 10.409861 12.261970 14.561815 17.352232 20.642195 24.835552
2025-07-27 7.574507 9.452311 11.749262 14.784813 18.719417 23.685373 30.488278
2025-08-03 6.462152 8.457227 11.031259 14.629646 19.583884 26.243385 36.005362
2025-08-10 5.562155 7.596764 10.351089 14.404047 20.303497 28.713870 41.858186
2025-08-17 4.838709 6.868271 9.738277 14.164675 20.948580 31.167447 48.139335
2025-08-24 4.274618 6.285071 9.244274 14.011525 21.679080 33.846661 55.266609
2025-08-31 3.832386 5.820935 8.858618 13.955790 22.535851 36.844223 63.487077
2025-09-07 3.542614 5.550923 8.730363 14.280499 24.048672 41.156886 74.851277
2025-09-14 3.211637 5.173184 8.378974 14.177205 24.801804 44.261828 84.625304
2025-09-21 2.892163 4.776126 7.945136 13.865376 25.122968 46.615567 93.409746
2025-09-28 2.640854 4.465503 7.620163 13.699346 25.680156 49.495572 103.877690
2025-10-05 2.499463 4.335672 7.606089 14.125169 27.487484 55.262475 122.157648
2025-10-12 2.370768 4.214147 7.592444 14.550581 29.369271 61.554009 143.284816
2025-10-19 2.224882 4.044749 7.469072 14.739812 30.788988 67.120680 164.160521
2025-10-26 2.052548 3.806936 7.186764 14.561944 31.377963 70.910922 181.525820
2025-11-02 1.892581 3.576714 6.893821 14.321517 31.787040 74.358232 198.945144
2025-11-09 1.748925 3.364494 6.614196 14.072675 32.137195 77.734708 217.155548
2025-11-16 1.628312 3.187110 6.387620 13.913016 32.679133 81.719819 238.394859
2025-11-23 1.528056 3.042044 6.213919 13.852402 33.460817 86.512294 263.676241
2025-11-30 1.467512 2.974598 6.200579 14.170608 35.278420 94.574966 302.421930
2025-12-07 1.379501 2.839718 6.023648 14.065538 35.948805 99.479318 331.895405
2025-12-14 1.284543 2.681098 5.777170 13.754620 36.002582 102.558823 355.809365